nber -Policy Diffusion Through Elections-此为英文文档.docx

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nber -Policy Diffusion Through Elections-此为英文文档.docx

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NBERWORKINGPAPERSERIES

POLICYDIFFUSIONTHROUGHELECTIONS

HitoshiShigeoka

YasutoraWatanabe

WorkingPaper31441

/papers/w31441

NATIONALBUREAUOFECONOMICRESEARCH

1050MassachusettsAvenue

Cambridge,MA02138

July2023

TheauthorswouldliketothankEdwardGlaeser,EmirKamenica,HiroyukiKasahara,KeisukeKondo,HikaruOgawa,KatumiShimotsu,RaphaelParchet,andseminarparticipantsatAMES2022,EMES2022,GRIPS,HitotsubashiUniversity,JSQPS2023WinterMeeting,KeioUniversity,KyotoSummerWorkshoponAppliedEconomics,KyotoUniversity,LACEA-LAMES2022,NBERJapanMeeting2022,NihonUniversity,RochesterUniversity,SAET2021,fortheirvaluablesuggestions.ShigeokagratefullyacknowledgesthefinancialsupportfromAbefellowship.WatanabeacknowledgesthefinancialsupportfromJSPSKAKENHIGrantNumber21H05062.YusukeIshihata,EikenKawa,KentoKitajima,RyokiMaekawa,HiromiMatsukiyo,GentaOkada,NaoyaSho,HideakiTakahashi,MasahiroTamae,KotaroTsukada,KeisukeUeda,FutoWatanuki,andMasahiroYamadaprovidedexcellentresearchassistance.Allremainingerrorsaresolelyourresponsibility.TheviewsexpressedhereinarethoseoftheauthorsanddonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsoftheNationalBureauofEconomicResearch.

NBERworkingpapersarecirculatedfordiscussionandcommentpurposes.Theyhavenotbeenpeer-reviewedorbeensubjecttothereviewbytheNBERBoardofDirectorsthataccompaniesofficialNBERpublications.

?2023byHitoshiShigeokaandYasutoraWatanabe.Allrightsreserved.Shortsectionsoftext,nottoexceedtwoparagraphs,maybequotedwithoutexplicitpermissionprovidedthatfullcredit,including?notice,isgiventothesource.

PolicyDiffusionThroughElections

HitoshiShigeokaandYasutoraWatanabe

NBERWorkingPaperNo.31441

July2023

JELNo.D04,D78,H73,H75

ABSTRACT

Staggereddifference-in-differencesdesignsarepervasiveinpolicyevaluationsbutlittleisknowna

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