市场因素太过戏剧性,成品油市场何去何从（Market factors are too dramatic, where will the refined oil market go）.docVIP

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市场因素太过戏剧性,成品油市场何去何从（Market factors are too dramatic, where will the refined oil market go）.doc

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市场因素太过戏剧性,成品油市场何去何从（Market factors are too dramatic, where will the refined oil market go）

市场因素太过戏剧性,成品油市场何去何从（Market factors are too dramatic, where will the refined oil market go） Zhang Bin: market factors are too dramatic. What about the market for refined oil products? Www Recently, the domestic refined oil market is full of surprises, multi factor turns staged, caused by the domestic oil market prices rise expected several times repeatedly, and wonderful as much as Hollywood blockbusters, but uncertainty is still large, led to the trend of late oil difficult to have a clear direction. Late price is up or down is difficult to determine, oil shortage can reproduce, the refined oil market should go from here? First of all, the uncertainty of crude oil. May crude oil plummeted, resulting in the expected increase in oil products disappeared, with the three decline in the rate of change continued to decline, the domestic refined oil cut is expected to increase. Data show that three crude oil change rate from May 5ths high of 6.90%, once dropped to -1.14%, or as high as 8.04%. But we estimate that if three of the average price of crude oil to maintain the current price of about 110 U. S. dollars / barrel, then the rate of change in the three did not break the possibility of + 4%, so the policy adjustment window can not be opened. Although the window is an important indicator of trends of crude oil is still around late policy adjustments, but overall, the crude oil in the early oversold, has been supported in seeking a reasonable price, short-term oil prices will be the main shock consolidation, or difficult to have a big breakthrough. Therefore, the domestic refined oil price adjustment will temporarily dormant, policy oriented disappearance, making the supply and demand of refined oil re dominant market prices. Secondly, in addition to temporary price increase of electricity shortage. NDRC announced in May 30th: since June 1st, the price of industry, commerce and agriculture in 15 provinces and cities increased by 1.67 cents per kilowatt hour on average. C