郑新立在博鳌亚洲论坛年会上的发言(中英对照).docVIP

郑新立在博鳌亚洲论坛年会上的发言(中英对照) 扩大亚洲经济合作 引领全球走出危机 ——在博鳌亚洲论坛上的发言 中国国际经济交流中心常务副理事长 郑新立 EXPANDING ECONOMIC COOPERATION IN ASIA, HELPING THE GLOBE GET RID OF CRISES SPEECH AT BO’AO FORUM BY ZHENG XINLI EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRMAN CHINA CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC EXCHANGES 2009-4-18 席卷全球的金融经济危机，正在对世界经济带来沉重打击，预计今年全球贸易额将下降9%左右，工业生产将下降15%，经济总量将缩减1%-2%，出现60年来最严峻的局面。经济危机考验着各国政府的经济管理能力，考验着人类的智慧。 The financial and economic crisis sweeping the globe is dealing a heavy blow to the world economy. It is forecast that the global trade volume will drop by about 9 percent, industrial output by 15 percent and economic aggregate by 1 to 2 percent, indicating the most severe situation for 60 years. The economic crisis is testing the economic management capabilities of governments as well as the wisdom of mankind. 亚洲作为这次危机被波及的地区正深受其害，面临着出口下降、就业减少、外汇储备风险加大等威胁。但亚洲也是这次危机中比较幸运的地区，受危机的直接冲击比美、欧要小，内需潜力巨大，资金和外汇储备比较充裕，除少数发达国家和地区外，多数国家和地区处于工业化、城市化快速推进的过程中。扩大亚洲的经济合作，把亚洲各国工业化、城市化进程与发达国家的技术和区域内外的资金结合起来，可以形成巨大的需求。这种需求一旦变成现实购买力和进口能力，对拉动全球经济走出危机影响，将会起到举足轻重的作用。 Asia is being impacted profoundly as the region is affected by the sprawling crisis, challenged by decrease of export, decline in employment, and rising risks in forex reserves. However, Asia is comparatively a fortunate region in the crisis in that its direct impact is less serious than the U.S. and Europe, its potential domestic demand is enormous, and its capital and forex reserves are abundant. With the exception of a few developed economies, most of the countries and regions are in the process of accelerated industrialization and urbanization. By expanding economic cooperation in Asia, combining industrialization, urbanization of Asia with the technologies of developed countries as well as capitals from within and outside the region, tremendous demands will take shape. Once the demands are translated into real purchase power and import power, they can play a vital role in driving the global economy out of the shadow of crisis. 在亚洲各国精英聚首博鳌这个难得的历史时刻，我