考虑稳定性因素的绿色供应链参与行为演化博弈分析.pdfVIP

第40卷第4期系统工程学报Vol.40No.4

2025年8月JOURNALOFSYSTEMSENGINEERINGAug.2025

考虑稳定性因素的绿色供应链参与行为演化博奔分析

张倩

(大连理工大学商学院,辽宁盘锦124221)

摘要：在供应链稳定性受到挑战的现实背景下，以政府、供应商及制造商为主体，构建考虑稳定性因素的绿色供应

链参与行为演化博奔模型，分析三方策略的均衡条件、影响因素及演化路径.研究表明：补贴力度加大会抑制政府

参与意愿，超过一定阈值甚至诱发失灵问题，惩罚性措施通过强化外在压力发挥威慢作用，合理的补贴惩罚制度有

助于引导企业绿色行为；供应链稳定性对供应商和制造商绿色决策行为的影响存在异质性，稳定性变化导致供应

链成员企业之间存在绿色决策分歧；绿色供应链管理效果的提升有助于激发政府和供应商的参与意愿.

关键词：绿色供应链；供应链稳定性；演化博奔

中图分类号：F274文献标识码：A文章编号：1000-5781(2025)04-0610-13

doi:10.13383/j.cnki.jse.2025.04.009

Evolutionarygameanalysisofgreensupplychainparticipation

behaviorconsideringstabilityfactors

ZhangQian

(SchoolofBusiness,DalianUniversityofTechnology,Panjin124221,China)

Abstract:Againsttherealisticbackgroundofsupplychainstabilitybeingchallenged,thispaperestablishes

anevolutionarygamemodelofgreensupplychainparticipationbehaviorincludinggovernment,suppliers,

andmanufacturers,andanalyzestheequilibriumconditions,influencingfactors,andevolutionarypathsof

thethree-partystrategy.Theresearchshowsthat:Theincreaseinsubsidieswillrestrainthegovernments

willingnesstoparticipate,eveninducingfailurewhenitexceedsacertainthreshold,whilepunitivemeasures

willplayadeterrentrolebystrengtheningexternalpressure.Areasonablesubsidy-punishmentsystemwill

helpguideenterprisestowardgreenbehavior.Theinfuenceofsupplychainstabilityonthegreendecision-

makingbehaviorofsuppliersandmanufacturersisheterogeneous,andstabilitychangesleadtodivergentgreen

decision-makingamongsupplychainmemberenterprises