2023年C题优秀论文.pdf

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Team#apmcm2303763

TeamNumber:apmcm2303763

ProblemChosen:C

2023APMCMsummarysheet

Thispaperaddressesmultipleissuespertainingtothedevelopmentandimpactof

newenergyvehiclesinChina.

Inthefirstproblem,patentnumbers,subsidies,percapitadisposableincome,and

chargingstationquantitiesfrom2010to2022arecollectedandusedasinfluencing

factors.Thesalesvolumeofnewenergyvehiclesisthedependentvariable.Amultiple

regressionequationisestablished,withregressioncoefficientsindicatingtheimportance

ofeachfactor.Theorderofimportanceisdeterminedassubsidies,patents,percapita

income,andchargingstationgrowthrate.

Inthesecondproblem,sevenindicatorsrepresentingtheelectricvehicleindus-

try’sdevelopment,includingmarketpenetrationrate,numberofchargingstations,and

productionvolume,areidentified.TimeseriesanalysisusingARIMAmodelsiscon-

ductedonmarketpenetrationrateandsalesvolume,identifiedaspivotaldevelopment

indicators.

Thethirdprobleminvolvesdatacollectiononnewenergyandtraditionalvehicles,

employingtheleastsquaresmethodforanalysis.Apopulationcompetitionmodelpre-

dictsfuturetrendsintheownershipandsalesofnewenergyandtraditionalvehicles,

validatedagainstoriginaldata.

Forthefourthproblem,theexportvolumeofnewenergyvehiclesisselectedas

thepolicy-influencedindicator.Historicalrestrictionsfrommajormarketcountrieson

China’snewenergydevelopmentareinvestigatedusingatimeseriesapproach.ADID

modelisemployedtoascertainthestrongnegativecorrelationbetweenforeignpolicy

implementationsandChina’snewenergyvehicleexports.

Lastly,thefifthproblementailsestablishingapolynomialmodelbasedonurban

carstatisticstoderivedataforacityof

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