第19届布达佩斯游泳世锦赛泳坛竞争格局分析.pdfVIP

竞技体育JINGJITIYU

第19届布达佩斯游泳世锦赛泳坛竞争格局分析

AnAnalysisoftheCompetitivePatternofSwimmingatthe19th

BudapestSwimmingWorldChampionships

袁广辉

YuanGuanghui

摘要：运用文献资料、数理统计、逻辑分析等研究方法，对第19届世界游泳锦标赛游泳项目的整体成绩

进行了研究，并将其与18届世锦赛和东京奥运会成绩进行了对比分析。结果表明：本届游泳世锦赛整体

竞技成绩呈现下滑态势；金牌地域分布趋于集中化且覆盖率严重失衡；美国世界泳坛霸主地位无可撼动；

欧洲整体竞技实力雄厚且无人能及；澳大利亚青黄不接局面得以改善，其强势回归并迈入复苏之路；中国

稳坐亚洲霸主地位，日韩发挥不佳以零金告终；非洲和南美洲游泳竞技实力依旧欠佳；中国游泳队优势项

目迷失，人才断档严重，老将发挥不佳，致使其整体竞技成绩略有下滑，但值得欣慰的是新星运动员表现偶

有亮点，且实力不容小靓，未来可期。

关键词：第19届；游泳；世锦赛；世界泳坛；竞争格局

Abstract:Byusingthemethodsofliteraturereview,mathematicalstatisticsandlogicalanalysis,thispaper

analyzestheoverallperformanceofswimmingeventsinthe19thWorldSwimmingChampionshipsandcomparesit

withtheresultsofthe18thWorldSwimmingChampionshipsandTokyoOlympicGames.Findingsaredisclosedas

follows.Theoverallathleticperformanceofthe19hWorldSwimmingChampionshipsdeclined;goldmedalists

tendstobegeographicallycentralizedandheavilyimbalanced;theUnitedStatesdominanceintheswimming

worldisunshakable;Europeasawholeissecondtononeinitscompetitivestrength;atemporaryshortageof

strongswimmersfromAustraliahaschanged,andmadeastrongcomebackandembarkedontoaroadofrecovery;

ChinasteadilymaintaineditsleadershipinAsia,whereasJapanandSouthKoreareapedzerogoldmedal;Africa

andSouthAmericawerestillpooratswimmingcompetitions.Chinasswimmingteamhaslostitsadvantaged

events,andthereiscurrentlyaseriousshortageofnewtalents.Chineseveteranswimmersdidnotplaywell,

res