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A new approach to business fluctuations heterogeneous interacting agents, scaling laws and financial fragility精品
A new approach to business fluctuations:
heterogeneous interacting agents, scaling
laws and financial fragility
a b c
Domenico Delli Gatti, Corrado Di Guilmi, Edoardo Gaffeo,
Gianfranco Giulioni,b Mauro Gallegati,b* Antonio Palestrini,b
a Institute of Quantitative Methods and Economic Theory, Catholic University of Milan,
Largo Gemelli1, I-20123 Milan, Italy
b Department of Economics, Università Politecnica delle Marche,
Piaz.le Martelli 8, I-60121 Ancona, Italy
c Department of Economics and CEEL, University of Trento,
Via Inama 5, I-33100 Trento, Italy
September 6th, 2003
Abstract
In this paper we discuss a scaling approach to business fluctuations. Our starting point
consists in recognizing that concepts and methods derived from physics have allowed
economists to (re)discover a set of stylized facts which have to be satisfactorily accounted
for in their models. Standard macroeconomics, based on a reductionist approach centered
on the representative agent, is definitely badly equipped for this task. On the contrary,
we show that a simple financial fragility agent-based model, based on complex
interactions of heterogeneous agents, is able to replicate a large number of scaling type
stylized facts with a remarkable high degree of statistical precision.
Keywords: Business fluctuations; power law distribution; agent-based model.
JEL classification: E32, C63, C82.
* Corresponding author. E-mail: gallegati@dea.unian.it (M. Gallegati).
1
1. Introduction
Recent
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