论如何保持人民币汇率稳定(可编辑).docVIP

论如何保持人民币汇率稳定 江西理工大学应用科学学院 毕 业 论 文论文题目:论如何保持人民币汇率稳定 论如何保持人民币汇率稳定 摘要 汇率作为价格体系的一个重要组成部分,是影响一个国家或地区对外贸易发展的重要因素之一。自从布雷顿声森林体系瓦解之后,固定汇率制走向了终结。在如今全球经济一体化的背景下,中国经济的发展起到了越来越重要的作用,因此人民币汇率的稳定性选择也变的至关重要。因此一些国内外经济学者提出一些对人民币汇率稳定的看法。金融危机爆发以来,支持人民币大幅升值的基本面因素已经发生变化:中国贸易顺差缩小,经济分析师预计未来数年该国的经常帐盈馀可能不断降低,甚至变为赤字。要求人民币升值的无非是美国和欧盟等少数国家在试图通过人民币升值转嫁金融危机成本,他们是为自己的利益在喊。这方面,日本是有过教训的,上世纪80年代,美国逼日元升值。日本在签订了《广场协定》后,日元一下子升值30%,此后的日本经济到现在就一直没有翻过身来,在这之前,日本经济一直是以9%左右的速度增长的。 解决世界经济失衡问题,重在保证世界贸易公平,汇率变动太大,对于世界经济没有什么好处。特别是外贸额大的国家的汇率更要稳定。只有汇率稳定才能维持世界经济的平衡,保证世界贸易的公平。所以大家应当主动维护WTO原则,维护世界贸易的公平。人民币汇率的问题与贸易平衡状况是无关的,把世界经济的所谓失衡,归纳为东亚和中国的出口、美国消费,没有道理。相反,“危机期间,中国保持汇率稳定,为全球经济复苏作出了贡献。 关键字:人民币汇率;国际收支;外汇储备;通货膨胀 Concerning how to keep the RMB exchange rate stability ABSTRACT Exchange rate as price system is an important part of a region or a country is to influence the development of foreign trade is one of the important factors. Since the collapse of the bretton woods system, sound after the fixed exchange rate system coming to an end. Now in under the background of global economic integration, the development of Chinas economy plays a more and more important role in the stability of RMB exchange rate, so choose will also become vital. So some domestic and foreign economic scholars put forward some opinions of the RMB exchange rate stability. Since the financial crisis, support the RMB fundamentals factors have changed: Chinas trade surplus narrowed, economic analysts expected future years its current-account surplus may reduce, even into deficit unceasingly. Requirements of RMB appreciation is nothing but the United States and the European Union and a few countries trying to pass by RMB appreciation, they are financial crisis cost for their own interests in shout. This aspect, Japan is had lessons, the 1980s, American force yen appreciation. Japan in the square agreement signed after a 30%, the yen appreciation of the Japanese economy, thereafter until now had not turn