world energy balance outlook and opec production capacity implications for global oil security世界能源前景和产能平衡对全球石油安全的影响.pdfVIP

Energies 2012, 5, 2626-2651; doi:10.3390/en5082626 OPEN ACCESS energies ISSN 1996-1073 /journal/energies Article World Energy Balance Outlook and OPEC Production Capacity: Implications for Global Oil Security Ali Mirchi 1, Saeed Hadian 2, Kaveh Madani 2,*, Omid M. Rouhani 3 and Azadeh M. Rouhani 4 1 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological University, 1400 Townsend Dr, Houghton, MI 49931, USA; E-Mail: amirchi@ 2 Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, 4000 Central Florida Blvd, Orlando, FL 32816, USA; E-Mail: hadian@ 3 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California-Davis, One Shields Ave, Davis, CA 95616, USA; E-Mail: omrouhani@ 4 Encon Systems UK Ltd., 4 Charter House Mulgrave Rd, Sutton Surrey, SM2 6LB, UK; E-Mail: azadehrhn@ * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: kmadani@; Tel.: +1-407-823-2317; Fax: +1-407-823-3315. Received: 12 June 2012; in revised form: 13 July 2012 / Accepted: 17 July 2012 / Published: 25 July 2012 Abstract: The imbalance between energy resource availability, demand, and production capacity, coupled with inherent economic and environmental uncertainties make strategic energy resources planning, management, and decision-making a challenging process. In this paper, a descriptive approach has been taken to synthesize the world’s energy portfolio and the global energy balance outlook in order to provide