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alternative scenarios for the development of a low-carbon city a case study of beijing, china替代方案的发展低碳城市的案例研究,北京,中国
Energies 2011, 4, 2295-2310; doi:10.3390/en4122295
OPEN ACCESS
energies
ISSN 1996-1073
/journal/energies
Article
Alternative Scenarios for the Development of a Low-Carbon
City: A Case Study of Beijing, China
Lixiao Zhang, Yueyi Feng and Bin Chen *
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, School of
Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;
E-Mails: zhanglixiao@ (L.Z.); fyy8977@163.com (Y.F.)
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: chenb@;
Tel.: +86-10 Fax: +86-10
Received: 31 October 2011; in revised form: 30 November 2011 / Accepted: 9 December 2011 /
Published: 20 December 2011
Abstract: The establishment of low-carbon cities has been suggested all over the World,
since cities are key drivers of energy usage and the associated carbon emissions. This paper
presents a scenario analysis of future energy consumption and carbon emissions for the city
of Beijing. The Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) model is used to
simulate a range of pathways and to analyze how these would change energy consumption
and carbon emissions from 2007 to 2030. Three scenarios have been designed to describe
future energy strategies in relation to the development of Beijing city, namely a reference
scenario (RS), control scenario (CS), and integrated scenario (IS). The results show that
under the IS the total energy demand in Beijing is expected to reach 88.61 million tonnes
coal e
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