§14 决策的基本方法（The basic method of section 14 of the decision）.docVIP

§14 决策的基本方法（The basic method of section 14 of the decision） Your position: the basic method of section 14 of the decision The basic method of section 14 of the decision Teaching purposes: 1. Distinguish between deterministic, risky and uncertain decision making conditions; 2. Master three commonly used decision making methods. Introduction: In order to ensure that the decisions made by the organization are as accurate and effective as possible, scientific decision-making methods must be applied. And decision methods can be divided into three categories: one is the group decision method is a kind of decision making method on organization orientation and contents, one is to choose different programs engaged in certain activities in the direction of the. Elaboration: the content of the three types of decision methods Group decision making method In order to stimulate group creativity, organizations can use the ideas that can stimulate creative ideas and creative solutions to help managers choose decision alternatives. Introduction: common group decision making techniques (1) brainstorming The founder of brainstorming is British psychologist Osborn, a group problem solving technique that managers come together to produce and debate a wide variety of alternatives and make decisions from them. Elaboration: the agenda followed by a special meeting held by several managers (two) nominal group law In collective decision-making, nominal group techniques can be used if the nature of the problem is not fully understood and the differences of opinion are serious. Under this technique, members of the group are not breathing together, nor are they discussing and negotiating together, so that the group is nominal. Elaboration: the agenda of a special meeting held by a small group of managers (three) Delphy Fa Delfifa was a qualitative prediction method proposed by the American Rand Co experts in the early 60s to avoid the existence of collective discussion and succumb to authorit