汇率变动对我国家电、纺织和计算机行业的影响.pdfVIP

A b str a ct W ith C h inas accession to the W T O in 200 1，C h inas foreign trade show ed a m om entum of rap id grow th . A s one of the troika to prom ote C h inas econom ic developm ent, th e com poun d annual grow th rate of im ports and exports reach ed 2 1.40% an d 2 1.86% from 200 1 to 20 10 ; w ith the rap id developm ent of C hinas foreign trade, C hinafs dependence on foreign trade reached to 49.15% in 20 10. H ow ever，the rap id developm ent of foreign trade to our econom y has brought greater uncertainty. E xpanding international trade surp lu s exacerbated by C hinas trade friction, an d w e faced great pressure to appreciate the yuan . S ince the exchange rate reform in 2005，the R M B began to enter the appreciation chann el, the cum ulative appreciation reached to 25.58% until 20 10. E specially the financial crisis of 2008 led to a w eak dem and global econom y and also cau ses a sharp decline of C h inas exports. In th is context, research an d exchange rate changes is of great sign ifican ce for C hinas export indu stry. T his article w ill select the three sectors as textiles, hom e app liances and com puter indu stry accum ulated progressive representatives of exchange rate chan ges, and m ak e relevant policy recom m endations for the im pact of C hinas export indu stry. T his paper selects 2000-200 10 exports of textiles, hom e appliances and com puter products annual data for the sam p les, starting from the classical balance of paym ents theory and the u se of em p irical m ethods to conduct an em p irical analysis of the im pact of the three sectors of export of the R M B exchange rate changes. A nd three export indu stries that affect differences in the com parative analysis, in order to reveal the different effects of ex chan ge rate changes for C hinas labor-inten sive indu stries an d k