中国客车生产市场分析.pdf

Author 2012-5-3 3 Evolution (by 2015) Impact on bus Economy • Annual GDP growth is about 7% • length of highway reaches Road 100,000 km • 90% villages to be accessed by road Demand keeps increasing, Urbanization • level of urbanization exceeds 50% especially high class, low emission and safer bus coach • policies to strengthen low emission vehicles development Policy • school bus accidents suggest strict implementation of safety standards • Income increased prefer passenger more comfortable and safer bus * 2011 - 2015 The bus sales almost keep increasing since 1997, and the trend goes on in the “12th five-year”. In the end of 2012, many high-speed rails to be completed, which slightly affects the bus market * source: Q Level of urbanization up to 51.5% by 2015 st nd 1 /2 line cities – Metro and light rail development have some impacts on the bus demand, but high-end class is still in need due to the expanding of the city – Factories moved to the suburb area middle/high class bus for the company employees to commute 3rd line cities + villages: – Passengers travel between cities and villages means more seats and better motor in bus due to the long distance transport – Medium class bu