城市居民出行方式选择结构方程分析.pdfVIP

35 6 Vol. 35 No. 6 2011 12 JOURNAL OF BEIJING JIAOT ONG UNIVERSITY Dec. 2011 : 1673-0291(2011) 06-0001-06 1 2 3 杨励雅 , 邵春福 , 李 霞 ( 1. , 100872; 2. , 100044; 3. , 100081 ) : 为克服Logit 类模型的局限性, 以出行链为分析单元, 构建了快速 市化进程中居民出行 方式选择的结构方程模型. 首先, 依据已有研究基础及 市化进程中居民出行特征, 确定影响居民 出行方式选择的3 类因素, 建立影响因素与出行方式之间的关系结构; 在此基础上, 构建结构方程 模型, 利用北京市居民出行调查数据对模型进行辨识与修正, 最终得到了 个人与家庭属性土地利 用出行链等各类因素对出行方式的影响方向与程度. 研究结果对优化居民出行方式结构改善 市交通拥堵具有指导意义. : 交通规划; 出行方式; 结构方程; 市化 : U491 : A Structural equation model analysis of travel mode choice for urban residents 1 2 3 YA N G L iy a , SH A O Chunf u , L I X ia ( 1. School of Public A ministration, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China; 2. School of Traffic an Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong Universit y, Beijing 100044, China; 3. School of Mechanical an Vehicular Engineering, Beijing Institute of Technology , Beijing 100081, China) Abstract:T o overcome the limitation of Logit mo el, this paper evelope a structural equation mo el for travel mo e choice in the process of rapi urbanization base on the analysis unit of trip chain. Firstly, three kin s of influence factor w ere etermine accor ing to the travelers characteristics in rapi urbanization, an some hypotheses w ere a vance to escribe the relationship betw een influence factors an travel mo e choice. T hen, the structural equation mo el was constructe . Using the travel survey ata of Beijing, the mo el w as compute an mo ifie . T he mo el computing result show s the quantit