马来西亚政局突变的混沌学解析.pdfVIP

2008 5 SO UTH EA ST A SIAN ST UD IES * 马来西亚政局突变的混沌学解读 (暨南大学华侨华人研究院 广州 5 10630) [ ] 大选结果; / 不规则0 因; 混沌学理论; 启示 [ ] 2008年的马来西亚大选, 出现了所有政评家都意想不到的结果, 即执政的国阵失去数十年以来一直保有的 多数国会议席和五个州政权。本文运用混沌理论对此 / 不规则0 现象进行解读, 先后分析选前形势, 印度人示威及其对其 他族群选民的影响, 网络传播与政治动员的关系等。本文认为, 政治领域和其他领域一样, 也存在 / 混沌0 或 / 不规则0, / 网络政治0 特点, 使当代政治的 / 不规则0 日渐增多, 传统定常的政治分析方法面临着新的挑战。 [ ] D7331 81 [] A [ ] 1008- 6099 ( 2008) 05- 0046- 07 Analy sis on th e T ran sm u tation of Political S ituation in M alaysian: Perspective from the Theo ry of Chao s Science L iao X iaojian ( Academ ofOverseas Chinese S tudies, Jinan Un iversit , Guangzhou 510630, Ch ina) K eyword s: Result of GeneralE lection; Reasons of / Irregularit 0; Theor of Chaos Science; R evelations Abs tract: The Tw elfth GeneralE lection ofM ala sian in 2008 reached an unexpected resu lt: the ruling part BN lost the leading position in parliament and the regmi es in five provinces w hich has been hold b BN for dozens of ears. The paper anal zes the / irregu larit 0 b theor of Chaos Science theor . The paper stud ies the situation be2 fore the General Election, theH indu demonstration and its influence on other ethnic group voters, the relations be2 tw een the netw ork communication and politicalmobilization. The paper argues that there are / chaos0 or / irregular2 ities0 in the political field as in other fields. / The network politics0 w ill causemore and more political / irregulari2 ties0. The traditional regular politic stud methods i