贵州省扩大农村消费的制约因素与对策分析word格式论文.docxVIP

优秀毕业论文 精品参考文献资料 摘 要 改革开放以来，中国经济持续稳定增长，年均增长速度高于 9%，综合国力 不断得到提升，但是从消费、投资和产品净出口这三个主要拉动经济增长的因 素来看，三者的贡献值是不均等的，其中一个非常关键而紧迫的问题是，农村 消费市场发展缓慢，制约农民消费水平的因素众多。 本文借鉴西方消费理论，从前人的研究成果出发，根据贵州省农村居民的 具体情况，分析了农民之间收入差距的扩大、农民增收途径的不确定性、农村 社会保障事业和生活消费基础设施的落后，及农民消费心理和消费行为的制约 这五个因素如何影响贵州农村居民的消费需求。采用了贵州省 1985-2008 年的 相关数值，运用计量分析方法和理论分析，结合协整分析和 Granger 因果检验 方法，对增加财政农业支出、发展农业生产和农民非农就业与农村居民收入水 平的关系进行实证分析。在学习国外先进国家地区的经验上，针对如何提高贵 州农村居民的消费需求，提出有针对性的对策和建议。 关键词：农村居民，农村市场，消费函数，消费需求， 分类号：（F203.9） V VIII Abstract For reform and opening up ， Chinese GDP increases very rapidly. The average Annual growth rate of GDP is beyond 9%，but to Promote economic growth to Consumption, investment and net exports this “troika” of view，the contribution about the three is not balanced, where the shortage of consumer demand in rural areas were many prominent. The content of the text uses the western theories of consumption and the previous researches for reference .According to the specific residents of Guizhou ， we analysis the uncertain income, uncertain expenditure，the peasants income gap between the expansion of the rural consumption environment constraints, and the traditional consumption concept of the five factors of the impact of consumption demand. After the study of Asian and western developed countries experience in how to improve rural people consumption demand in Guizhou province and put forward some countermeasure and suggestions. We use the data of Guizhou province from 1985 to 2008 to theoretically analysis and we also use measurement methods of analysis, granger causality member of the analysis and examination methods to increase public expenditures on the development of agriculture and agricultural production and the peasants employment and income levels of rural residents on paper. Keywords: rural residents， consumption demand， rural market，consumption function Classification number：（F203.9） 贵州大学工商管理硕士学位论文 贵州大学工商管理硕士学位论文 PAGE PAGE 1 1.前言 1.1 研究背景 作为拥有十多亿人口的发展中国家，中国的经济发展具有典型的大国经济 特点。从各国经济发展的长期趋势来看