(new)5.20 kuliah slides 马来西亚 实用外交学 课件.pptxVIP

Chosen Presentations on ASEAN 20 May 2014Topic B1 ASEAN (Political)Group 2012 (2) - whole set of slidesGroup 2013 (2) - only on Neo-realism of power balancingTopic B2 ASEAN (Economic)Group 2012 (1) - only on 天时，地利，人和Group 2012 (1) - only on GMS 大湄公河MCT 0Why is South China Sea Getting So Hot?Rich in resources: fuel (oil gas) food (fish, etc)Strategic seaway – 2nd busiest in worldBig small power / geo-politics, positioning posturing装腔作势MCT 0南海九段线 The U-Line (Dotted Lines) in South Sea (1)1945End of WWII – Japan navy withdrew from islands1947ROC Govt (民国政府) drew dotted lines to claim sovereignty over all islands in South Sea1951San Francisco Convention on Post-War Japan (CN not invited): Japan abandoned control of Zhongsha, Nansha but these not returned to CN1951PRC lodged formal protest against SFC(to continue)MCT 0南海九段线 The U-Line (Dotted Lines) in South Sea (2)1966Malaysia started oil gas drilling1973S-VN navy took islands, CN recaptured1979CN-VN border war1982UN Convention on Law of the Sea – then EEZ, Continental Shelf2002CN ASEAN signed DOC (Declaration on the ConductO) in South China Sea – working towards a COC (Code of Conduct)MCT 0(1) Historic Waters 历史性水域 by Taiwan KMT govt, butnot administered nor inhabited; also not “inland” sea (like bays…) – point abandoned by KMT 1998Maritime Boundary 海上疆域线 -- but offcial claims so far on islands, not entire seaIslands ownership Line 岛屿归属线 –as geographic “short note” to indicate ownership(4) “Might is Right” doctrine 军力即权利 –Military might to occupy ‘justifies’ ownership rightMCT 0Points in Support of the Dotted Linesfor China Claims on South Sea Islands南洋南海 蓝海 或 红海 ?(1)Nanyang South Sea Blue Ocean Red SeaHistorical Context A : (a) Names recorded in ChineseAnnals since 2C BC; (b) Chinese fishermen visited(2)Historical Context B : CN had occupied Mainland SEA (VN, MM etc.), but not “Yellow Peril” vs “White Peril” Not because navy not strong enough, but concept/policy of vassal state (藩属) without co