印度的新缅甸战略.pptVIP

INDIA NEEDS NEW BURMA STRATEGY Changing situation in Burma The 2007 monk-led protest in Burma was triggered by general malice, over-due frustration and hatred against military Basically the people of Burma wanted regime change It is the battle for survivals: Survival of the regime in power Survival of the people for life The regime can not control the people as before and they are on their last days Frustration and hatred cannot be put out by bullets Relative expenditures of GDP Why India needs new Burma strategy? As ground situation and world view on Burma have dramatically changed, the old policy needs to be modified or changed Questions to India: Is India’s current Burma policy productive? Is Chinese influence over Burma scaled down? Is border trade good only for foreign goods, arms and drugs? Can India acquire Gas from Burma? NE policy is counter-productive 15 years is enough to review India’s patience with Burmese regime is too much How to formulate the new Burma strategy Dictatorial rule in any country is naturally closer to undemocratic China and why is so to the largest democracy India India must use not only intellect but also heart as well as fresh thinking New strategy may have to take some risk Look East policy will be fruitful only when Burma is democratic I propose “Look People Policy” Public opinion must prevail Dialogue It is dialogue between Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and SPDC to solve the problems of Burma Failure of previous attempts are because of underestimation of the regime Burma’s dictator was compelled to talk about Talk because of international consensus This time SPDC cant do the same old trick as now it is facilitated by UN with broad support To initiate dialogue UN efforts must be fully supported Pressure will bring generals to the table China Chinas move so far is faster and more effective than Indias Chinese ambassador was the first to come to NLD after 1990 results were announced Chinese persuaded SPDC to receive UN envoy Ib