发达地区农村公共品供给效果评价(盲审稿投稿).docVIP

发达地区农村公共品供给效果评价 ――基于“长三角”地区1016户农民调查的分析 The Effect Evaluation of?the Rural?Public Goods Supply in the Developed Areas ----------?Based on the Analysis of the Yangtze River Delta?Area’s 1016 Farm Families?Survey 摘要：研究中运用有序Probit模型，分析了不同收入水平农民对农村公共产品供给效果的评价及其影响因素。研究表明，是否是村干部、农民对乡镇政府工作评价、农民参与满意度以及参与方式是影响不同收入水平农民对农村公共品供给效果评价的关键因素。农民年龄、受教育程度、是否村干部、政策支持、对中央政策的执行效果、参与价值对农村公共品供给效果的影响较显著。在此基础上提出了进一步提高农村公共产品的供给水平；加快完善村级治理机制，建立公平公正公开的农村公共品供给机制以及探索建立满足不同农民群体对公共产品需求的供给机制等几方面建议。 关键词：农村公共产品；供给效果；综合评价；有序Probit模型 Abstract:?The study uses the ordered Probit model to analyze the evaluation of farmers of different income levels on rural public goods supply effect and its influencing factors. Research shows that whether it is a village cadre, farmers’ evaluation on the township government job, farmers’ participation satisfaction and their participatory ways are key factors which affect the farmers’ evaluation of different income levels on rural public goods supply effect. Farmers’ age, educational level, whether it is a village cadre, policy support, the effect to implement central policies and participation value affect rural public goods supply effect greatly. On this basis, the study proposes to furtherly enhance the rural public goods supply level, to accelerate the improvement of village governance mechanism, to establish a fair and open rural public goods supply mechanism and explore the establishment of the supply mechanism to meet the public goods demand of different groups of farmers. Key Words: Rural Public Goods；Supply Effect； Comprehensive Evaluation；Ordered Probit Model 一、问题的提出 农村公共产品是指供农村居民消费的具有非排他性产品和服务涉及农村的公事业、福利、公共服务等领域，包括文教、卫生、体育等社会事业，供水、供电、道路公共基础设施和 1, 若yi(((1 2, 若(1( yi(((2 yi= 3, 若(2( yi(((3 4, 若(3( yi(((4 5, 若yi(((4 假定(i的正态分布的概率函数为G（x）,那么，对于上式yi的各个取值1，2，3，4，5的概率分布分别为： P（yi=1(x）= G（(1- X(） P（yi=2(x）= G（(2- X(）- G（(1- X(） P（yi=3(x）= G（(3- X(）- G（(2- X(） P（yi=4(x）= G（(4- X(）- G（(3- X(） P（yi=5(x）= 1-G（(4- X(） 对于有序Probit（OP）模型的参数估计方法与一般Probit模型