国际油价对国内经济的影响.docxVIP

摘要近年来，国际原油市场供求紧张，油价大幅攀升。国际原油价格从2007年年初为49.9美元/桶，到2008年突破100美元/桶大关，到5月下旬，国际油价直逼每桶130美元，创历史新高，再到现在的稳定在110美元/桶。国际的石油价格对世界各国的各个经济部门都有着异常深刻的影响，国际原油价格的快速上涨，影响着各国经济，经济增长成本有所增加。能源消费弹性系数明显上升，国际油价大幅攀升必将给国民经济各行业带来较大的冲击。特别是以石油为主要生产资料的企业，油价上涨导致其运营成本上升，生产成本难以向外转移，利润空间受到挤压，甚至出现亏损，并将因此影响世界各国经济增长的和财政收入。由于石油的储量是有限的，在还没有找到合理可靠的新能源来代替石油之前，国际油价波动对于世界经济的影响将持续增大。虽说从当前国际石油资源的分布和国际油气技术发展来看，未来石油供给将保持稳定；但从世界经济走势来看，对原油和成品油的需求还将持续增加，因此国际油价将保持高位运行态势。国际游资随着交易产品的增加、交易市场的扩大，对国际油价波动的影响力将不断增大。所以在这里我要根据近几年来国际油价频繁变动的状况，对石油价格对我国国内的经济产生的影响进行分析探讨。关键字：国际原油 国内经济 石油价格 国内经济Abstract?In recent years, tight supply and demand in international crude oil market, oil prices rise significantly.?International crude oil prices from early 2007 to 49.9 U.S. dollars / barrel in 2008 exceeded 100 U.S. dollars / barrel mark in late May to the international oil price almost equal to 130 U.S. dollars per barrel, a record high, to the current stabilized at 110?U.S. dollars / barrel.?International oil prices on the various economic sectors around the world have a profound impact on abnormal, rapid increases in international crude oil prices, affecting economies, economic growth has increased the cost.?Elasticity of energy consumption significantly increased, a sharp rise in international oil prices will bring more to the national economys impact on the industry.?Especially the oil companies as the main means of production, higher oil prices lead to rising operating costs, production costs are difficult to transfer out, squeezed profit margins, even a loss, and thus affecting world economic growth and fiscal revenue.?As oil reserves are limited, it is not reasonable and reliable to find new energy to replace oil, the international oil price volatility for the world economy will continue to increase.?Although international oil resources from the current distribution and international oil and gas technology development, the future oil supplies will remain stable; but the world economic trends of view, the demand for crude oil