未来能源发展战略.PDFVIP

Sustainable Energy 可持续能源, 2011, 1, 1-5 /10.12677/se.2011.11001 Published Online October 2011 (/journal/se) Development Strategy of Future Energy Xiaoquan Zheng State Key laboratory for Power Equipment and Electric Insulation, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an Email: xqzheng@ Received: Aug. 19th, 2011; revised: Sep. 20th, 2011; accepted: Sep. 25th, 2011. Abstract: In accordance with the status of technological development and sustainable development principles of low pollution, high degree of safety and low cost, this paper mainly analyses four major stable energy sources which can replace fossil fuels in the future. These energies are hydroelectric power, nuclear fusion energy, geothermal energy and flammable-ice. Geothermal energy, in particular, may account for half of our total energy consumption because it has unlimited reserve, does not pollute the environment and release no green house gases. Other types of energy, such as solar energy, wind energy and tidal energy are characteri- zed by their instability and high investment cost. Therefore, these energies can only act as a supplement to stable energy sources. In the future, this kind of energy structure will lead to an era of “zero carbon” discharge. Keywords: Fossil Fuels; Geothermal Energy; Nuclear Fusion Energy; Hydroelectric Power; Flammable-Ice 未来能源发展战略 郑晓泉 西安交通大学电力设备电气绝缘国家重点实验室，西安 Email: xqzheng@ 收稿日期：2011 年 8 月 19 日；修回日期：2011 年 9 月 20 日；录用日期：2011 年 9 月 25 日 摘 要：按照可持续发展、低污染、安全度高和成本较低的原则和技术发展现状，主要分析了未来可 以替代化石能源的四大较稳定能源，分别为水电、第四代核能、地热能、可燃冰。特别是地热能，由 于其无限的储量，不污染环境，不释放温室气体，极可能占据总能量的半壁江山。其他能源方式