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GlobalMarketsSnapshot
JUNE2023
PrivateEquityActivityLags
Junewasabusymonthforglobalcentralbanksasthe
ghtagainstinfationcontinues.Ratehikeswereissued
bytheBankofEngland+50bps(basispoints)andthe
EuropeancentralBank+25bps.TheBankofJapan,despite
itsrecentchangeinleadershipinApril,maintainedits
policyrateat-0.1%,andtheFederalReserveBankofthe
unitedstateslikewisekeptthefederalfundsratesteady
intherangeof5%-5.25%.ThepeopleSBankofchinacut
itsprimaryinterestrate10bpsinsupportofdomestic
growthandinreactiontoweakerdownstreamdemand
foritsmanufacturedgoods.
Ascentralbankrateactivityevolvesaroundprevailing
infationrateenvironments,GpsinpEhavedrastically
slowedcapitaldeploymentinsearchof2021dealsat
2023prices.Amongthelargestpubliclylistedus
alternativesmanagers,mediandeploymenttopEona
dollar-valuebasisfellmorethan71%forQ12023froma
yearearlier.TotheexclusionofApolloandAres,
Blackstone,KKR,carlyle,andTPGallsawprecipitous
drop-offsintheirdeployedcapitalintopE.whileApollo
especiallyhasbeenquicktostrikeondealsin2023as
valuationsfalter,frmssuchaskkRandTPGareholding
untilvaluationscomedownmoremeaningfully.zooming
outtopEmorebroadly,totalquarterlypEdealactivityin
theunitedstatesinQ12023slowedtoatwo-and-a-half-
yearlow,notchingonly$82.6billion.
onadealvaluebasis,2023hasbeentheweakestyear
inmorethan15yearsforusbuyoutactivity,comprising
only40.8%ofoveralluspEdealcounts;incontrast,
add-onactivityreacheda15-yearproportionalpeakin
Q12023of48.2%.Thesetrendsindealactivityalso
correspondwithadropinthemedianpEdealdollar
valueandcanbereasonablyunderstoodasmanagers
lookingforsmallerdealsasfnancingremainscostly.AS
valuationscontinuetoresetfromrecenthighs,andas
thebiggestpEplayersreinitiateallocationstotheasset
class,expectbuyoutstorecoversomegroundin
proportionalactivity.Formoreinsightintohowcentra
banksandothermacroeconomicfactorsareshapingthe
PElandscapeof2023,pleasereferto
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