生物质发电燃料收集成本测算模型及实证分析.docxVIP

生物质发电燃料收集成本 测算模型及实证分析 檀勤良1，2 ，杨海平1 ，张兴平1 ，邓艳明1 ，魏咏梅1 ( 1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院，北京 102206; 2. 北京能源发展研究基地，北京 102206) 摘 要: 生物质发电成本过高是制约生物质发电企业发展的重要因素，而秸秆燃料的收集成本是生物质 发电燃料成本的主要构成部分。应用微积分法建立秸秆燃料收集成本模型，以 25MW 生物质电厂为例测 算秸秆收集成本，并分析了秸秆收集成本的构成。实证研究表明，运输成本是秸秆收集成本的关键组成 部分。敏感性分析表明，秸秆收集半径是影响秸秆收集成本的最敏感的因素。同时模拟分析表明秸秆收 集成本、秸秆运输成本与经纪人数量呈 U 型关系，因此科学合理地确定经纪人数量有利于降低秸秆收集 成本。根据研究结论，提出了促进生物质发电产业发展的相关政策建议。 关键词: 生物质发电; 秸秆; 微积分; 收集成本 中图分类号: F206 文献标识码: A DOI:10.13580/j.cnki.fstc.2014.05.021 Measurement Model and Empirical Analysis of Fuel Collection Cost for Biomass Power Generation Tan Qinliang1，2 ，Yang Haiping1 ，Zhang Xingping1 ，Deng Yanming1 ，Wei Yongmei1 ( 1. School of Economics and Management，North China Electric Power University，Beijing 102206，China; 2. Ｒesearch Center for Beijing Energy Development，Beijing 102206，China) Abstract: The high cost of biomass power generation restricts the development of enterprises，while the straw fuel collection cost is a major cost in the biomass power generation. This article establishes straw fuel collection cost model with calculus. It calculates the straw fuel collection cost with a 25MW biomass generation power plant，moreover，analyzes the composition of straw collection cost. The em- pirical research shows that the transportation cost is the key part of the cost of straw collection. The sensitivity analysis shows that straw collection radius is the most sensitive factor of straw collection cost and the straw collection cost. Transportation cost have a U-shaped re- lationship between the numbers of brokers. Therefore，determine the number of brokers scientifically and reasonably can reduce the straw collection cost. According to this research，this article puts forward relevant policy suggestions to promote the development of bio- mass power generation industry. Key words: Biomass power generation; Straw; Calculus; Collection cost 基金项目: 国家自然科学基金 ( ，新世纪优秀人才支持计划 ( NCET-12-0850) ，北京市哲学社会科学规划重点项目 ( 11JGA010) ，教育部博士