Leasingdemandfocusedonnewlycompletedprojects租赁需求集中.PDFVIP

Colliers Quarterly H1 2017 31 July 2017 TIANJIN | OFFICE 天津 | 写字楼 Leasing demand 租赁需求集中于近 focused on newly 期入市的项目 completed projects Jamie Xu Senior Analyst | North China 徐静怡 高级分析师| 华北 Tianjin’s GDP grew 6.9% YOY with tertiary industry 据天津市统计局，2017 年上半年度天津市生产总值同比 growing 8.3% YOY in H1 2017, according to Tianjin 增速为 6.9%，第三产业同比增长 8.3%。相应地，2017 Statistics Bureau. Correspondingly, Tianjin’s prime 年上半年天津优质写字楼市场保持稳定。租赁交易主要 office property market was stable in H1 2017. 集中在位于优质地段拥有较高建筑标准近期完工入市的 Leasing transactions were mainly signed by 项目中。展望未来，高力国际预计由于大量新增供应将 financial enterprises and focused on newly 超越需求，空置率将继续攀升。鉴于业主间竞争加剧， completed projects with high building specification 市场将继续利好租户方。 in prime locations. Looking ahead, Colliers expects the vacancy rate to increase further as high new supply should offset demand. Market should favour tenants amidst the intensified market competition. Forecast at a glance 预测一览表 Demand 需求 We expect the upcoming new supply to 我们预计未来新增供应将超越租赁需求 outweigh leasing demand Supply 供应 We expect approximately 410,000 sq m 我们预测约41 万平方米(440 万平方英尺)的 (4.4 million sq ft) of new supply to enter 新项目将于2018 年底前完工入市，总存量 the market by the end of 2018, expending the total stock by 23% 将扩增23% Vacancy rate 空置率 We expect the future supply to push up 我们预计未来供应将于2018 年底推升平均 the average vacancy rate to 40% at end- 2018