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中 原 大 學 工業工程學系 碩士學位論文 X ARTA過程的 管制圖統計設計 The Statistical Design of the X Control Chart for ARTA processes 指導教授:陳慧芬 教授 研 究 生:林煥唐 中 華 民 國 九 十 五 年 七 月 TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES iii LIST OF TABLES iv ABSTRACT vi ACKNOWLEDGEMENT vii I. INTRODUCTION1 1.1 Problem Definition and Motivation1 1.2 Research Purposes 2 1.3 Organization of Thesis2 II. LITERATURE REVIEW……………...……………………………4 2.1 Review of X Control Charts4 2.1.1 SPC and X Chart 4 2.1.2 The Procedure to Construct the X Control Chart 6 2.2 Time Series Models7 2.2.1 Stationary Time Series 7 2.2.2 The Autoregressive Moving Average Process ARMA(p, q)8 2.2.3 The Moving Average Process MA(q) 9 2.2.4 The Autoregressive Process AR(p ) 9 2.2.5 The Average Run Length of ARMA(1, 1) Process 10 2.2.6 The Autoregressive to Anything ARTA(p ) Process 12 2.3 Generation of an ARTA(p ) Process13 2.4 Retrospective Algorithms15 III. X CHART DESIGN FOR THE ARTA(p ) PROCESS 19 3.1 Problem Definition19 3.2 The Procedure of Simulation 20 3.3 The Average Run Length for i.i.d. Normal Distribution22 IV. EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS 25 4.1
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