可再生能源电力定价.pdfVIP

Value of Renewable Power 可再生能源电力定价 Dr. Ole Langniss DecemberDecember ContentsContents 内容内容 1. Costs vs. Value 成本和定价 2. Determining the costs of wind power 如何确定风电的成本 3. Examples of cost determination 风电成本确定的案例分析 4. Merit Order Effect 优势排序效应（MOE） 5. Grid Benefit 电网利益 6. Summary 结论 2 CostCost DeterminationDetermination – CalculationCalculation BaseBase 成本确定成本确定—计算基准计算基准 Nominal Levelised Electricity Generation Costs 名义名义上的平准化发电成本的平准化发电成本 Annuity of Life Cycle Costs Levelised Electricity Cost = MeanMean AnnualAnnual ElectricityElectricity GenerationGeneration Life Time Investment Operation Interest Rate Maintenance Costs 投资 生命周期 运营维护成本运营维护成本 利率利率 T r (1r )T AnnuityAnnuity ((II t OMOM t )()(11rr ))t  T t 0 (1r ) 1 Present Value of Life cycle Annuity Factor costs 3 CostCost DeterminationDetermination – PrinciplesPrinciples InIn GermanyGermany成本确定成本确定—德国实施的原则德国实施的原则 Four-year revision cycle 4年更新成本 Cost based price setting 基于成本定价 Cost determination ex-post via evaluation of realised power plants by independent consultants 通过由独立咨询机构评估运行中的电厂来进行成本确定后评估 Including evaluation of cost development over time 包括对成本随时间变化进行评估包括对成本随时间变化进行评估 Supplemented by expert judgements, pparticularlyy on future pproggress 由专家评价进行补