有哪些信誉好的足球投注网站a climatic stability approach to prioritizing global conservation investments全球气候稳定方法优先保护投资.pdfVIP
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a climatic stability approach to prioritizing global conservation investments全球气候稳定方法优先保护投资
A Climatic Stability Approach to Prioritizing Global
Conservation Investments
Takuya Iwamura*, Kerrie A. Wilson, Oscar Venter, Hugh P. Possingham
Ecology Centre, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Abstract
Climate change is impacting species and ecosystems globally. Many existing templates to identify the most important areas
to conserve terrestrial biodiversity at the global scale neglect the future impacts of climate change. Unstable climatic
conditions are predicted to undermine conservation investments in the future. This paper presents an approach to
developing a resource allocation algorithm for conservation investment that incorporates the ecological stability of
ecoregions under climate change. We discover that allocating funds in this way changes the optimal schedule of global
investments both spatially and temporally. This allocation reduces the biodiversity loss of terrestrial endemic species from
protected areas due to climate change by 22% for the period of 2002–2052, when compared to allocations that do not
consider climate change. To maximize the resilience of global biodiversity to climate change we recommend that funding
be increased in ecoregions located in the tropics and/or mid-elevation habitats, where climatic conditions are predicted to
remain relatively stable. Accounting for the ecological stability of ecoregions provides a realistic approach to incorporating
climate change into global conservation planning, with potential to save more species from extinction in the long term.
Citation: Iwamura T, Wilson KA, Venter O, Possingham HP (2010) A Climatic Stability Approach to Prioritizing Global Conservation Investments. PLoS ONE 5(11):
e15103. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0015103
Editor: Brian Gratwicke, Smithsonian’s National Zoological Park,
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