Key Findings on Airplane Economic Life Boeing（重要发现波音飞机的经济生活）.pdfVIP

Key Findings on Airplane Economic LifeKey Findings on Airplane Economic Life HelenHelen JiangJiang Associate Technical Fellow Aviation System Analysis Boeing Commercial Airplanes March 2013 Key Findings on Airplane Economic Life Boeing Commercial Airplanes March 2013 About the Author Helen Jiang is an aviation system analyst at Boeing Commercial Airplanes in Renton, Wash., where she and her teammates provide expertise in market analysis and research, forecasting, modelingmodeling andand simulationsimulation toto supportsupport BoeingBoeing’ss businessbusiness planning and production decisions. Trained as an aerospace engineer in China, Jiang holds a master’s degree in aero- space engineering from MIT, and an MBA from the University of Washington. She joined Boeing in 2005 after career work in China as a strategy and airline analyst at both Aviation IndustryIndustry ofof ChinaChina (AVIC)(AVIC) andand AirbusAirbus IndustrieIndustrie China.China. JiangJiang has particular expertise in survival analysis and holds a U.S. patent on methodology for fleet and airplane retirement forecasting. Her work earned her the distinction of being named a Boeing Associate Technical Fellow in 2011. Defining the Debate Parameters The terms “airplane economic life”, “airplane useful life”, “airplane service life”, and a host of variations on these terms occur freqquentlyy in industryy literature and discussions. Within the air transport industry there is a sense that we know what these terms refer to. Yet a recent casual survey indicated that even experts are hard pressed to precisely define these terms in a way that can be quantified. Further, analysts use a variety of surrogate measures as the basis for quantifying airplane economic life. There is no industry standard for which surrogate is appropriate for a particular context. Th