《人民币汇率变动对深圳外向型经济（RMB exchange rate change to Shenzhens export-oriented economy）.docVIP

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《人民币汇率变动对深圳外向型经济（RMB exchange rate change to Shenzhens export-oriented economy）.doc

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《人民币汇率变动对深圳外向型经济（RMB exchange rate change to Shenzhens export-oriented economy） RMB exchange rate change to Shenzhens export-oriented economy Brief introduction to the results of the impact and Countermeasures Dengfeng Zhao In July 21, 2005 the central bank will be RMB dollar exchange rate adjusted to 8.11, the RMB appreciation against the U.S. dollar 2%, ending 10 years of the pegged exchange rate system in China, gradually shift based on market supply and demand with reference to a basket of currencies, a managed floating exchange rate regime 1. The new exchange rate system research literature of foreign influence to the economy and the countermeasures is not much, even with a small amount of literature mostly speak generally, lack of in-depth investigation and research system. There is little literature about the impact of RMB exchange rate fluctuations on the export-oriented economy in Shenzhen and the countermeasures. In view of the fact that Shenzhens economy is highly dependent on external demand, the regions GDP is 780 billion 650 million yuan in 2009, the total import and export volume of US $299 billion 970 million, and its dependence on foreign trade remains as high as 262%. Since the reform and opening up, with preferential policies and advantageous geographical position, Shenzhen attracts a large number of foreign direct investment FDI, especially from the capital of Hongkong, the rapid growth of FDI in Shenzhen, directly promote the development of foreign-funded enterprises, promote economic development. Therefore, this paper focuses on the impact of RMB exchange rate on the import and export of Shenzhen and FDI, divided into four parts for analysis. The first part of the real effective exchange rate of RMB in Shenzhen to calculate and analyze the variation characteristics, the second part of the establishment of econometric model to analyze the impact of real effective exchange rate on import and export of Shenzhen and FDI; the third part forecasts th