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基金汉博(Fund Hambo)
基金汉博(Fund Hambo)
World economic situation and development trend in 2012
The world economic recovery is slowing, and the global economy will continue to show a low growth rate in 2012
(I) current economic recovery in the world;
The global economic recovery is slowing down and downside risks are increasing. High unemployment in developed countries, private demand is weak; growth in emerging markets and developing countries fall, the macro-control of the situation facing more complex; continuous upgrading of the European sovereign debt crisis, the U.S. long-term sovereign credit rating was lowered, the international financial market fluctuates repeatedly; at the same time, the commodity price shocks, global inflation pressure is still large.
Americas economic recovery is slowing sharply. In the first two quarters of this year, the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 0.4% and 1%, well below last years quarterly growth rate. The main reason for the slowdown is the weakening of stimulus fiscal policy and loose monetary policy, while the private sector continues to be weak and unable to effectively continue the momentum of economic growth. In the first quarter, the annual rate of private consumption in the United States grew by only 0.4%, pulling 0.3 percentage points of economic growth, the lowest level since the recovery. In the first two quarters, US investment remained positive growth, but the growth rate was only 3.8% and 6.4%, far below the 31.5% and 26.4% level of the same period last year. In the two quarter, exports grew by 3.1%, an increase of 0.41 percentage points, the lowest level since the recovery. At present, the employment situation in the United States remains grim, the unemployment rate in August is still 9.1% of the high.
Economic growth in the euro area has declined markedly, and economic trends have intensified in different countries. Affected by the economic slowdown in emerging market countries, high commodity prices and further deepen the sovere
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