关于获得并优化新卡里巴水坝系统详细分析.docVIP

关于获得并优化新卡里巴水坝系统详细分析 　　摘 要：赞比西河上的卡里巴水坝是非洲的大水坝之一。但它的建设是有争议的，南非风险管理研究所在2015年的报告中曾说：警告大坝急需维护。赞比西河管理局（ZRA）提供了若干选择以解决这一问题。其中一个选项为：拆除卡里巴水坝，并用沿赞比西河的10～12个较小的水坝替代它。该文将提供该选项的详细分析，即在新的水坝系统与现有的卡里巴水坝具有相同的对水的管理能力的同时，提供给卡里巴湖相同或更高水平的保护和水管理选择的前提下，给出沿赞比西河的新坝的数量和位置。并在安全和成本方面为新水坝的水流量系统提供合理的策略。除了解决已知或预测的正常水周期，此策略同时可以解释和证明正确处理应急水流情况时应当采取的行动，该分析可以在一定程度上为ZRA使用该选项解决问题提供指导 关键词：卡里巴水坝 拆除 替代 详细分析 新的水坝系统 中图分类号：TV631 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1672-3791（2017）04（a）-0095-04 Detailed Analysis of the Acquisition and Optimization of the New Kariba Dam System Yang Shuhan （The Dalian university of technology， Dalian Liaoning， 116024， China） Abstract： The Kariba Dam on the Zambezi River is one of the larger dams in Africa. Its construction was controversial， and a 2015 report by the Institute of Risk Management of South Africa included a warning that the dam is in dire need of maintenance. A number of options are available to the Zambezi River Authority （ZRA） that might address the situation. One of the options is： Removing the Kariba Dam and replacing it with a series of ten to twenty smaller dams along the Zambezi River. This paper provides the detailed analysis of this option. That is under the condition that this new system of dams have the same overall water management capabilities as the existing Kariba Dam while providing the same or greater levels of protection， giving water management options for Lake Kariba that are in place with the existing dam. The analysis includes a strategy for modulating the water flow through the new multiple dam system that provides a reasonable balance between safety and costs. In addition to addressing known or predicted normal water cycles， the strategy should explains and justifies the actions that should be taken to properly handle emergency water flow situations （i.e. flooding and/or prolonged low water conditions）. This paper can provide guidance to the ZRA if they choose this option to solve the problem to some extent. Key Words： The Kariba Dam； Removing；