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Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean ▪ 2010 1 Mexico Real GDP in Mexico increased by 5.3% in 2010 after contracting by 6.1% in 2009. This partial recovery in economic activity was mainly sustained by the dynamism of exports. Consumption picked up only moderately owing to a fall in real wages and weakness in the labour market, while gross fixed investment experienced only a slight expansion. Inflation was about 4.2% at year’s end, down on the 5.3% of a year earlier. The urban open unemployment rate improved to 6.6% in the third quarter of 2010 from 7.7% in the same quarter of 2009. The current account deficit declined slightly as a percentage of GDP to 0.6% from the 0.7% recorded in 2009, as exports grew strongly. The public- sector fiscal deficit, including investment by Petróleos Mexicanos (PEMEX), will close 2010 at 2.7%, an increase on the 2009 figure of 2.3%. ECLAC estimates that the economy will expand by 3.5% in 2011, as export growth tails off and domestic demand remains slack. The Bank of Mexico expects its annual inflation target of 3% to be met in late 2011, which is feasible if there are no new external shocks and the trend towards higher international commodity prices seen in late 2010 does not persist. Expectations are for a fiscal deficit of 2.3%, including PEMEX investment. The 2011 revenue act provides for minor changes, most notably an increase in special taxes, leaving f