亚太地缘政治、经济与外交.pdf

S E N I O R P O L I C Y S E M I N A R 2 0 0 7 Mapping Change in the Asia Pacific Region: Geopolitics, Economics, and Diplomacy SENIOR POLICY SEMINAR 2007 Mapping Change in the Asia Pacific Region: Geopolitics, Economics, and Diplomacy The Senior Policy Seminar Series summarizes discussions and conclusions at an annual meeting of senior security officials and analysts from countries of the Asia Pacific region sponsored by the East-West Center. These seminars facilitate nonofficial, frank, and non-attribution discussions of regional secu- rity issues. The summary reflects the diverse perspectives of the participants and does not necessarily represent the views of the East-West Center. The price per copy is $7.50 plus shipping. For information on ordering contact: Publication Sales Office East-West Center 1601 East-West Road Honolulu, HI 96848-1601 Email: ewcbooks@EastWestC Tel.: 808.944.7145 Fax: 808.944.7376 Website: www.EastWestC © East-West Center 2008 Table of Contents v Preface vii Executive Summary 1 Introduction 1 The United States and the Region 5 Shifts in the Regional Balance of Power 11 Changing Economic Geography 17 Soft Power 19 Conclusions 23 Appendix: Participants Preface CHARLES E. MORRISON, PRESIDENT, EAST-WEST CENTER The Senior Policy Seminar is a keystone event in the East-West Center’s an- nual calendar. It brings together senior foreign policy officials, private sector leaders, and analysts from countries around the region for nonofficial, frank, and non-attribution discussions of security issues in the Asia Pacific region. In keeping with the Center’s founding mission, the objective of the Senior Policy Seminar series is to promote mutual understanding and to explore possibilities for improving problem-solving