The Impact of SinoKorea FTA and the Choice.pptVIP

The Impact of Sino-Korea FTA and the Choice of Negotiation Strategy for China: A CGE Simulation Analysis;1.Introduction;The core issues of Sino-korea FTA analysis;;Input-output database Structure;Model and Data Source;2.THE BASIC SCENARIO SIMULATION : LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE IN ALL GOODS; ;Table 1 Country/Region and Industry groups;Basic Simulation Closure——GTAP Standard Static Closure;The Tariff Levels before the Simulation;Table 2:Comparison of Sector tariff levels between China and the South Korea Unit: %;2.1 Macroeconomic effect;;;Table 3 Various Countries’ GDP and its Composition Changes Unit: Billion U.S Dollars; %;Table 4 Changes in national welfare and its decomposition Unit: Billion U.S Dollars;2.2 Trade Effect;;Table 5 Changes in bilateral trade before and after Simulation Unit: Billion U.S dollars;Table 6 Changes in bilateral Sector trade balance Unit: Billion U.S dollars;Table 6(Continued); 2.3 Industry Effect; ;Table 7 Changes in sector output and trade balance before and after simulation  Unit: Billion U.S Dollars; %;3.OTHER SCENARIOS DESIGNED FOR SINO-KOREA FTA NEGOTIATIONS: COMBINATION OF SECTOR EXCEPTIONS AND CAPITAL ACCUMULATION;;3.1 Combination of Sectors exceptions;Two scenarios under Combination of Sectors exceptions;3.1.1 Macroeconomic effect;; ;Table 8 The comparison of total macro effect under various scenarios  Unit: Billion U.S Dollars; %;3.1.2 Industry sector effects;;Table 9 Sector output changes of China and South Korea Unit: %;3.2 Considering the