灾害管理培训-毛刚强.pptVIP

灾害管理培训;概况;交流内容;灾害管理的基本概念和术语;灾害管理的趋势;灾害管理周期的变化;New Paradigm;Evolving Concepts 概念演变;社区参与灾害风险管理;什么是社区灾害风险管理过程;Stages in Community Based Disaster Risk Management Process…社区灾害风险管理过程的步骤...;Stage;Stage;Stage;Stage;Stage;Stage;灾害与发展的关系;Political system securing citizen participation in decision making 政治体系应保证公众参与决策 Economic system able to generate surpluses and technical knowledge on a self reliant basis 经济体系能够在自力更生的基础上产生剩余和技术知识 Social system that ensure equitable development and provide solutions for tensions arising from disharmonious development 社会体系能够保证社会公正，并能解决由于不协调发展带来的紧张关系;The Relationship Between Disaster and Development 灾害与发展的关系; Factors that could help decision-makers in risk mitigation investment analysis 帮助决策者进行减轻投资风险分析的要素;Disaster Impact 灾害的影响;Reconstruction Period after Disaster is an Opportunity for General Assistance 灾后重建时期是获得综合援助的机会;;Building Links Between Disasters and Development - Community’s Role 建立灾害和发展的联系 – 社区的角色; ;Classification of Hazards 致灾因子分类;;Origin or Causes of Hazards 致灾因子的起源或起因;;;HAZARD ASSESSMENT致灾因子评估; Quantitative Approach 定量方法 Use mathematical functions with numerical values 运用带有数值的数学函数 Each variable will describe the relationship among parameters that characterize the phenomena 每个变量表示描述现象性质的参数间的关系;Use qualitative descriptions (such as low, medium or high) instead of numerical values 使用定性的描述（例如低、中或高）而不是数值; Probabilistic Approach 概率方法 Estimates the probability of each hazard affecting an area or region, and likelihood of occurrence and can be determined through research studies, simulation studies, etc (eg. Flood/erosion simulation studies, slope stability calculations, landslide hazard zonation). 评估每一个影响地区或区域的致灾因子的概率和这些致灾因子发生的可能，以及通过调查研究和模拟研究确定这些灾害的可能性???例如 洪水/腐蚀模拟研究、斜坡稳定性计算、山体滑坡致灾因子的地带分布）;Usage of Hazard Information in Natural Hazard Assessment自然致灾因子评估中致灾因子信息的使用; Hazard Zonation mapping 致灾因子地带分布绘图 Hazard maps outline zones that are defined in terms of the probability of occurrence of potentially damaging phenom