武汉市居民消费水平影响因素研究.docxVIP

计量经济学课程论文 论文题目：居民消费水平的影响因素实证研究—以武汉市为例姓名：孔凤玲学号：1508020033年级：2015级专业：企业管理（公司治理）学院：工商管理学院指导教师：朱喜安完成时间：2015年12月20日 居民消费水平影响因素的实证研究 ——以武汉市为例 孔凤玲 A Study on Factors Influencing Consumption of Residengts A Case Study of Wuhan Kong Fengling 摘 要 近些年来，随着市场经济的高速发展，我国居民收入和消费水平不断提高，但是相对于较高的投资率和储蓄率，我国居民的边际消费倾向呈下降趋势，且消费水平的增速明显低于居民收入增速，抑制了消费需求，反映了消费对经济的拉动作用明显不足。鉴于此，本文运用消费经济理论对武汉市的居民消费水平的影响因素展开分析，确定了5个主要影响因素（地区人均生产总值、城镇居民人均可支配收入、农村居民人均可支配收入、人口自然增长率和居民消费价格指数），选取1985-2014年的相关数据，采用计量经济多元线性回归模型对其进行分析，研究了主要变量对模型的影响程度，由此得到结论并提出了提高居民消费水平的对策建议。 关键词：居民消费水平、影响因素、计量分析 Abstract In recent years, with the rapid development of the market economy, Chinas income and consumption levels continue to improve, but relative to the higher investment rate and savings rate, the marginal propensity to consume of our residents is declining, and the growth rate of consumption level is significantly lower than the growth rate of residents, which reflects the consumption demand. In view of this, this paper analyzes the factors affecting the consumption level of residents in Wuhan city by using the theory of consumption economy. The 5 main influencing factors (regional per capita GDP, per capita disposable income of urban residents, population natural growth rate and consumer price index) were selected. The impact of the main variables on the model was analyzed by using the econometric model. The main variables were analyzed and the countermeasures were put forward. Key words: Residents Consumption level, Influence Factors, Measurement analysis 目 录  TOC \o 1-2 \h \z \u  HYPERLINK \l _Toc437956307 一.研究概述  PAGEREF _Toc437956307 \h 1  HYPERLINK \l _Toc437956308 (一) 研究背景  PAGEREF _Toc437956308 \h 1  HYPERLINK \l _Toc437956309 （二）研究意义  PAGEREF _Toc437956309 \h 1  HYPERLINK \l _Toc437956310 （三）文献综述  PAGEREF _Toc437956310 \h 1  HYPERLINK \l _Toc437956311 （四）研究内容  PAGEREF _Toc437956311 \h 3  HYPERLINK \l _Toc437956312