创新网络中组织间信任演化的混沌性研究.docVIP

 创新网络中组织间信任演化的混沌性研究# 韩亚品，胡珑瑛** （哈尔滨工业大学经济与管理学院，哈尔滨 150001） 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 摘要：基于演化博弈理论和混沌理论，分析了创新网络中组织间信任的复杂性、初值敏感性、 分岔行为及内随机性等混沌特性，建立了创新网络中组织间信任演化的微分方程，推导出信 任演化方程与一维 logistic 映射之间的关系，采用 Lyapunov 稳定性理论进行混沌性判定， 证明创新网络中组织间信任通过倍周期分岔通往混沌，得到了信任从有序进入混沌的一般条 件，并运用算例进行了仿真验证。创新网络中组织间信任的混沌演化反映出信任发展的非线 性特点，为创新网络中组织间信任的短期预测及混沌控制提供理论指导。 关键词：企业管理；创新网络；组织间信任；演化；混沌 中图分类号：F270.3 Chaotic Research on Inter-organizational Trust Evolution in Innovation Networks Han Yapin, Hu Longying (School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001) Abstract: Chaotic characteristics of inter-organizational trust in innovation networks are analyzed based on chaos theory, such as complexity, sensitivity to initial value, bifurcation behavior and inner randomness. The differential equations of inter-organizational trust evolution in innovation networks are established based on evolutionary game theory. The relationship between trust evolution equation and one-dimensional logistic mapping is deduced. Trust chaos is determined by the Lyapunov stability theory. Inter-organizational trust in innovation networks leads to chaos through the period-doubling bifurcation. The general conditions in which trust comes to chaos instead of being in good order is gotten. What has been mentioned above is simulated and proved with a numerical example. The chaotic evolution of inter-organizational trust in innovation networks can reflect the non-linear character of trust development and it can provide theoretical guidance for short-term prediction and chaotic control of inter-organizational trust in innovation networks. Keywords: Enterprise Management; Innovation Network; Inter-organizational Trust; Evolution; Chaos 0 引言 创新网络可以整合创新资源、获得溢出效应、突破技术障碍、减少创新风险等[1]，信任 是网络组织的基本治理工具[2]，具有简化、约束、决策以及协调等多项治理功能[3]，采取信 任的治理方式对于提高组织间合作绩效具有重要价值[4][5][6]。 关于合作网络中组织间信任关系的演变过程，Lewicki Bunker(1995)[7]描述了信任从计 算性信任到知识性信任，最后发展为认同性信任的演变过程。两个组织间信任随时间变化动 态演化，信任生命周期分三个阶段：产生、维持和改变性质(蜕变或结束)[8]。Paul 等[9]论述 了组织间信任、不信任、正式协调