我国公债适度规模问题的探讨 毕业论文.doc

PAGE II 摘 要 我国自1981年恢复发行公债以来，公债的发行规模呈阶段式跃升。特别是1998年以来，国家实施了以增发公债为主的积极财政政策，公债规模急剧膨胀，公债适度规模问题成为理论界讨论的焦点。论文尝试将公债规模问题作为研究对象，在已有研究成果的基础上对公债规模问题作重新思考，以求达到丰富这一领域的研究目的。 从宏观经济环境和公债规模的关系入手，介绍了公债的基本理论，分析了我国公债规模现状及其存在的主要问题，通过公债规模经济影响因素以及衡量指标的分析，并且借鉴了美国在控制公债规模问题上的意见，对我国公债的适度规模问题进行深入研究，最后提出了防范公债规模过大带来的风险的相关政策建议。 关键词：公债；适度规模；政策建议 Abstract Our country since 1981, national debt issued bonds recovery since the issuance of a scale stage type jumped. Especially since 1998, with national implementation mainly additionally-issued bonds positive fiscal policy, bonds, bonds has expanded scale moderate scale of the problem be theoretical discussion focus. This article tried to put bonds scale problems as the research object, the existing research results on the basis of the scale of bonds to reconsider problems in order to achieve the rich this field of research purposes. This article from the macro economic environment and bonds, the relationship of scale introduced the basic theory, analyses the bonds, the present situation and our bonds scale, the main problems of economic factors by bonds scale and measures of analysis, and lessons from the U.S. in control bonds on the question of the scale of our debt and opinion, moderate scale of discussed in depth, and finally puts forward the preventive bonds large the risks of relevant policy suggestions. Keywords：national debt；moderate treasury scale；policy suggestion 目　　录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \z \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668297 摘 要 PAGEREF _Toc295668297 \h I HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668298 Abstract PAGEREF _Toc295668298 \h II HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668299 1 绪 论 PAGEREF _Toc295668299 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668300 1.1 研究背景 PAGEREF _Toc295668300 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668301 1.2 研究的目的和意义 PAGEREF _Toc295668301 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668302 1.2.1 研究目的 PAGEREF _Toc295668302 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668303 1.2.2 研究意义 PAGEREF _Toc295668303 \h 2 HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668304 1.3 国内外研究现状 PAGEREF _Toc295668304 \h 2 HYPERLINK \l _Toc295668305 1.3