上海旅游服贸易与经济增长相关性的.docVIP

PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 1 内容摘要：随着全球范围内经济结构的调整，服务贸易的发展速度已经远远超过了货物贸易，其中，旅游服务贸易已成为当今世界发展最快、前景最广阔的新兴产业，其对经济增长的作用也是日益凸显，引起了世界各国的广泛重视。因此，研究旅游服务贸易与经济增长之间的关系显得尤为重要和迫切。本文在分析上海旅游服务贸易现状的基础上，通过计算市场占有率、TC指数和RCA指数对上海旅游服务贸易竞争力进行分析。并利用2000—2009年10年的时间序列数据对上海旅游服务贸易与经济增长的关系进行实证分析，得出两者之间的关系。最后在所得结论的基础上，结合上海旅游服务贸易发展的宏观环境，提出相应的政策建议。 关键词：上海 旅游服务贸易 竞争力 经济增长 Abstract: With the adjustment of the economic structure in the whole world, the pace of development in service trade is far more than that in goods trade, which, tourism service trade has already become the fastest growing, most potential new industries, and its role in economic growth is increasingly obvious, attracting wide attention of all countries in the world. Therefore, the analysis of the relationship between tourism service trade and economic growth is particularly important and urgent. On the basis of the analysis of the current analysis of Shanghai tourism service trade, and through the calculation of market share, TC index and RCA index, this paper analyzes the competitiveness of Shanghai tourism service trade. And the relationship between Shanghai tourism service trade and economic growth is acquired by the time series data from 2000 to 2009. Finally, on the basis of the conclusions, the corresponding suggestions are made, combining with the macro environment of the development of Shanghai tourism service trade. Key words：Shanghai tourism service trade competitiveness economic growth 目 录 TOC \o 1-2 \h \z \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457052 一、 前言 4 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457053 （一）选题背景 4 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457054 （二）研究目的及意义 4 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457055 （三）论文的框架结构 5 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457056 （四）研究方法 5 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457057 （五）创新点及不足之处 6 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457058 二、文献综述 PAGEREF _Toc262457058 \h 6 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457059 （一）国外研究 7 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457060 （二）国内研究 7 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457061 （三）简要评述 9 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457062 三、相关理论回顾 9 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262457063 （一）相关概念界定 9 HYPERLINK \l _Toc2