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新余市电网电力负荷预测分析-power load forecasting analysis of xinyu power grid
AbstractstudyhavebeenprovedinthepracticeinXinyu,whichmeanstheresultofthisstudyisworthspreadingandapplyingtosomeextent.Theprocessdesignincluding:thetotalplanecivilheatingventilationandcoolingwatersupplycontrolpowerenvironmentalprotectiondesignofprocessdesignaccordingtotherequirementsofthedesignprocessandtheproposeddatadesignmakewholedesigncandohighefficiencyenergysavingandenvironmentalprotection,andtoensurefoodsafetyaccordwithacountryandindustrytotherelatedstandards.KeyWords:powerloadforecasting;combinationforecasting;antcolonyalgorithm;weightedaveragecoefficients目录1绪论...........................................................................................................................11.1选题目的及其意义..........................................................................................11.2电力系统负荷预测..........................................................................................21.2.1电力系统负荷预测之内容....................................................................21.2.2电力系统负荷预测之基本原理............................................................21.2.3电力负荷预测需要遵循的程序............................................................41.3国内外研究情况..............................................................................................51.3.1基于参数模型的方法............................................................................51.3.2基于非参数模型的方法........................................................................71.4本文主要的研究工作....................................................................................102基于蚁群算法的组合预测模型.............................................................................122.1组合预测模型................................................................................................122.2单个预测模型的选择....................................................................................132.3权重系数的确定............................................................................................132.4基本蚁群算法..............................................................
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