必威体育精装版IPDET.ppt

How “Theories” Work 理论是如何发挥作用的 Note the research that explains or predicts an event 关注解释或预测某一事件的研究 example: students do better when parents are involved in their studies 例如：当家长也参与到学生的学习中时，学生的表现会更好 The program theory links what the research is showing to a “theory” of the effects of the project/program 计划理论会将研究结果和项目/计划效果“理论”联系在一起 * chfght Potential Influences on Program Results对计划结果的可能影响 Inputs投入 ? Activities活动 ? Outputs产出 Outcomes成果 ? Impacts影响 Black Box 黑匣子 Political Environment (Governance, etc.) 政治环境（治理等） Public Attitudes 公众态度 Environment 环境 Aid Players 援助参与者 Macro-economic Picture 宏观经济形势 Policy Context 政策背景 * chfght Why Use a Theory of Change为什么使用变革理论 Helps identify elements of programs critical to success 有助于明确对成功至关重要的计划元素 Helps build a common understanding of the program and expectations among stakeholders 有助于在利益相关者之间建立计划和预期的共识 Identifies and measures progress on intervening variables 确定并衡量干预变量的进展 Identifies assumptions that may become the basis of evaluation questions 确定可能成为评价问题的基础的假设 * chfght Review or Create 审查或制订 If the program/project already has a developed theory of change, carefully review it 如果计划/项目已经具备了成熟的变革理论，则需对其进行仔细审查 may need to refine or rework it 可能需要完善或重新修订 If there is no theory of change, need to create one 如果还没有变革理论，则需制订一个变革理论 * chfght Constructing a Theory of Change构建变革理论 Is there research underlying the program? 对计划有进行研究吗？ What is the logic of the program? 计划的逻辑是什么？ What are the key assumptions being made? 做出了什么关键假设？ * chfght Process for Constructing a Theory of Change建立变革理论的流程 Research 研究 Logic 逻辑 Key assumptions 关键假设 * chfght Is There Research Underlying the Program?对计划进行研究了吗？ Evaluative studies within organization 组织内的评价性研究 OECD DAC repository of Publications and Documents or Information by Country 经合组织发展评价委员会出版物、文件或按照国家划分的信息 Evaluation studies done by development organizations 由发展组织完成的评价研究 Evaluation studies in related fields 在相关领域的评价研究 Research of theories of development 发展理论的研究