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罗甸县XX年第2次公开选拔副科级领导80
Enterprise Risk Management ;Initial Thoughts;Optimally manage the company’s capital
Required return on capital
Eliminate risks that threaten solvency/viability
Target maximum aggregate level of risk given range of opportunities
Manage volatility – Expected Value Curve
Understand, manage, mitigate
Shape business by taking risk we can quantify
Risk mix, diversification, hedging
Create behaviors that reinforce ERM culture
Internally and externally;ProcessSilos and Integrated Approach;Execution Risk Categories - Identification;Select risk owners / gatekeepers of the broad risk categories
Identify the various types of events/risks associated with each of the primary
categories
Change in asset value, movement in interest rates, large property/casualty event (hurricane, earthquake, Enron), adverse claims trends, etc
Measure financial and operational impact to organization
Balance sheet, liquidity, capital requirements
Contingency planning
Define tolerances for such events/risks
Percent of capital, cash-flow, change in rating agency capital
Establish controls to monitor risk exposure within established tolerance
levels and to enhance risk profile
Manage business around such thresholds
Optimally at the point of sale;Economic Capital ModelRisk Assessment –Pricing Example;Lack of full transparency
Black box stigma attached
Much noise when revisions were made that changed results
Willingness for many to embrace technology
Resistance to models and ability to forecast (predictive value)
Used to differentiate like risks
Full commitment from executive level
Non-traditional way of thinking
People are generally open to change ?!
Real time examples made this easy to grasp
Too focused on defensive uses initially
Desire to seek opportunistic risks
Understand outcomes outside the norm
Returns too good to be true, probably are;Other Thoughts Communication;Other ThoughtsStrategic Planning;lc
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