有关中国国债问题的分析（An analysis of Chinas national debt）.docVIP

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有关中国国债问题的分析（An analysis of Chinas national debt）.doc

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有关中国国债问题的分析（An analysis of Chinas national debt）

有关中国国债问题的分析（An analysis of Chinas national debt） An analysis of Chinas national debt An analysis of Chinas treasury bonds 2008-12-20 15:10:21 1998, in 2001, China issued 510 billion yuan of long-term treasury bonds, arranged 8600 items of treasury bonds, and invested 2 trillion and 400 billion yuan in total, and by the end of 2000, it had invested 1 trillion and 500 billion yuan, accounting for 63% of the total investment of the project. It is estimated that more than 90% of the total investment can be completed by the end of 2002. For the large-scale investment in treasury bonds, the theoretical circle has launched a positive research, and now summarizes some views as follows: First, the evaluation of the size of Chinas national debt. 1. the first view, determine the scale of the national debt index has five items: (1) national debt dependence degree; (2) the rate of debt burden; (3) the debt repayment rate; (4) financial distribution rate; (5) the national debt rate. In accordance with international standards, the warning indicators for the first four indicators are 20%, 15%, 6% and 3% respectively. The actual situation in our country is that the dependence degree of the national debt in 1996 has reached 26%, more than the ring line for International; national debt burden rate in 1995 reached 5.2%; the national debt repayment rate, 13.48% in 1995; the financial allocation rate, more than 1991 for the ring line, 3.3%, in 1995 reached 3.8%; the national debt ratio in 1995 was only 5.1%, but the per capita debt accounted for a higher proportion of per capita income. Therefore, on the issue of the degree of influence the scale of national bonds are debt repayment rate, national debt rate, dependence on government bonds, debt burden rate, the three indexes exceed the standard, that we can no longer continue to expand the scale of treasury bonds is too optimistic. 2., the second point of view: expanding the scale of national debt issuance is a good thing at one stroke.