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The Black Swan Fooled by Randomness（黑天鹅被随机现象）
The Roots of Unfairness: the Black showing similar attributes. Literally anything that
Swan in Arts and Literature contains luck will be subjected to it. The spread of ideas
and religions, the success of innovations, and historical
1 events also follow these dynamics. Note here that while
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
the problem is not particularly an economic one, the
2nd Draft, November 2004 study of the economics side of things has been
extremely useful to understand the phenomenon and
Literary Reseach/Recherche Litteraire, Journal of the
perform extensive testing, because of the abundance of
International Comparative Literature Association
data and the availability of testing metrics. Strangely,
while (against much of the misconceptions of
1.INTRODUCTION Protestant ethics) economic life is ruled by a larger
share of luck than commonly accepted, intellectual life
It is a sad fact that among a large cohort of artists and
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