基于主成分分析法的电力需求影响因素分析 analysis on influencial factor of power demand based on principal component analysis.pdfVIP

基矛i成分分析法的电力需求影响因素分析 崔巍1，都秀文1，杨海峰2 (1．大连海事大学管理学院，辽宁省大连市116026；2．重庆市电力公司发展计划部，重庆市400014) 摘要：目前电力资源需求与经济社会发展之间关系的研究已成为一个重要的课题，区域电力市场的发展直接影响着 地区经济社会和人民生活水平的发展。以重庆市为例研究电力需求的影响因素，将宏观经济与社会发展相结合寻找有 componentanalysis，PCA)方法对指标进行筛选和分析，得出电力 利指标，运用多元统计分析中的主成分分析(principal 需求的主要影响因素，旨在为区域性电力市场规划提供有力依据。 关键词：电力需求；影响因素；主成分分析法；区域电力市场；指标筛选 onInfluencialFactorofPowerDemandBasedon Analysis PrincipalComponentAnalysis 2 CUI Weil，DUXiuwenl。YANGHaifeng ofDalianMaritime Province，China； (1．ManagementCollege University，Dalian116026，Liaoning of ElectricPower 400014，China) 2．PlanningDepartmentChongqing Corporation，Chongqing and has onthe between demandeconomicandsocial ABSTRACT：Thestudy relationshippower developmentincreasingly become market the of an issue．The of affects irnportant developmentre#onalelectricitydirectly developmentregionaleconomy and the asan influencialfactorSof demandwere society，andpeople’slivingstandards．TakingChongqingexample，the power the and werecombinedtofinda favorableindex．Themain macro-economicthesocial studied，and development influencing factorsof demandwereobtained the and ofindicatorswith power throughscreeninganalysis usingprinopalcomponentanalysis multivariatestatistical could a basisforthe of market． (PCA)in analysis，whichprovidestrong planningregi