NAFTA Powertrain Outlook IHS(北美自由贸易协定动力系统前景 IHS).pdf

NAFTA Powertrain Outlook IHS(北美自由贸易协定动力系统前景 IHS).pdf

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NAFTA Powertrain Outlook IHS(北美自由贸易协定动力系统前景 IHS)

NAFTA Powertrain Outlook Efficiency Driving New Engine and Transmission Production Opportunities David Petrovski Principal Analyst, North America Powertrain Forecasting April 17, 2013 Agenda • Drivers for Change • Efficiency Opportunities • Production Opportunities • Summary Copyright © 2012 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 2 Evolutionary Change • Automotive technology development is an evolutionary process, influenced by: LEGISLATION/FISCAL POLICY ENERGY ECONOMICS CONSUMER DESIRE/RESPONSE INDUSTRY CAPABILITY An integrated approach is key – all stakeholder need to act together to reduce CO2 emissions (infrastructure, public authorities, consumers, OEMs( as this is the most cost- efficient way of achieving improvement –Ford Copyright © 2012 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. LEGISLATION/FISCAL POLICY Global Convergence Drives Scale 35.5 MPG 54.5 MPG Source: Copyright © 2012 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 4 ENERGY ECONOMICS Relatively “Cheap” fuel in comparison… Copyright © 2012 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 5 ENERGY ECONOMICS Forecasted Prices Remain Relatively Low ~$4/gal

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