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与波浪大师的四十五个问答(Forty-five questions and answers with wave Masters)
与波浪大师的四十五个问答(Forty-five questions and answers with wave Masters)
Forty-five questions and answers with wave Masters
1) how did you determine that wave 1 started and how to recognize that wave 1 has been terminated?
Tom Denham: to identify the start of a new wave, the most important thing is to identify the end of the last wave! We pay close attention to the connection between the two, and when the wave ends, thats the start of another wave. (hey, do you think its bullshit?). A real wave 1 will complete the operation of five sub waves before it can be terminated. Extension sometimes complicates the problem. This time you may have to wait until a low a-b-c retracement occurs before you can make sure that wave 1 has exited.
2) for downward wave 3, do you need shocking bad news to start?
Wayne Gorman: social behavior shows that there is no cause and effect relationship between the two. For example, in 1929 and 1987 stock market crash, was not what special news events. On the contrary, after the 911 incident, the stock market (Dow Jones) rose 6 months. Social behavior is the result of social mood trends, which follow the wave theory and are best represented in the stock market. Our research shows that social behavior does not constitute a feedback mechanism for social emotions, so social behavior does not affect social emotional trajectories in the future.
3) according to my understanding of your position, the bottom of the October 10, 2002 (Dow Jones) is not the end of the bear market, and since then the rise has been an adjustment wave. If the market price continues to rise, then what price level will you reach to change your mind?
Tom Denham: judging from the wave theory, the market is a bull market or a bear market, not based on the price level, but on the price pattern. The upward adjustment wave indicates that the downward trend is still coming, and the new bottom will come. We will reevaluate the current bear market stance only when the relative level of the drivi
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