Sessio 8Mass RelocationAnthony Oliver-Smith.pptVIP

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * In class discussion What’s in a name? Session 8: Catastrophe Readiness and Response Course * 涎烂午碱桑拧塔卑滨多个空齐涧蹿仪姻烘奠窖惠掷怎畅低书糕掺雕悬蓝蹋Sessio 8Mass RelocationAnthony Oliver-SmithSessio 8Mass RelocationAnthony Oliver-Smith UNHCR (2002): 24 million El-Hinnawi (1985): 50 million The Almeria Statement (1994) 135 million Myers (2005): 200 million The Stern Review (2006): 200 million by 2050 Nicholls (2006) 50-200 million by 2080 Friends of the Earth (2007): 200 million by 2050; 50 million in Africa alone Christian Aid (2007): 250 million by climate change; 645 million by development projects. (source: M. Hamza) Estimating Environmentally Forced Migration and Displacement Session 8: Catastrophe Readiness and Response Course * 冬甸探倍栖孔栅蛇潭蛰诈赴遗呛懊肠争峨谓绢朗刚纪肢府翰户敞札岳涕贡Sessio 8Mass RelocationAnthony Oliver-SmithSessio 8Mass RelocationAnthony Oliver-Smith Identifying Potentially Uprooted Populations The concept of social vulnerability will become key in identifying beforehand those groups that may suffer substantial displacement. Vulnerability assessment at the local level to climate change is still at an early stage of development. However, the poor and underdeveloped regions of the world are likely to have fewer resources to deal with climate change. Session 8: Catastrophe Readiness and Response Course * 啪漱茵郧耀赶逸涯廖柴傣像雪娱郡摧弗啊宣姑柜奖屹腹涤远堂曹澎甸汁鳖Sessio 8Mass RelocationAnthony Oliver-SmithSessio 8Mass RelocationAnthony Oliver-Smith UNFCC article 4.8 Countries with low lying coastal areas; Countries with arid and semi-arid areas, forested areas and areas vulnerable to forest decay; Countries with areas