区域风能规划中的风资源参数及其等效风速序列求解方法.pdfVIP

第 33 卷 第 1 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.33 No.1 Jan.5, 2013 2013 年 1 月 5 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2013 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 11 文章编号：0258-8013 (2013) 01-0011-11 中图分类号：TM 715 文献标志码：A 学科分类号：470·40 区域风能规划中的风资源参数及 等效风速序列求解方法 吉平，周孝信，武守远 ( 中国电力科学研究院，北京市 海淀区 100192) Wind Resource Parameters and Equivalent Wind Speed Sequence Solution in Regional Wind Energy Planning JI Ping, ZHOU Xiaoxin, WU Shouyuan (China Electric Power Research Institute, Haidian District, Beijing 100192, China) ABSTRACT: In regional wind energy planning multiple wind 区域等效风速序列求解方法，给出一种仅利用月平均风速合 speed observing stations, it is absent of that wind speed data 成风速数据的方法。以可再生电力混合优化模型为计算平 and its solving approach, which can describe regional 台，以建有多个风速观测站的某区域为算例，参数求解方法 equivalent wind resource condition well. It is important but is 及合成风速方法的合理性进行了验证分析。结果表明，2 种 difficult to solve regional equivalent wind speed sequence and 方法都能够求得合理的区域等效风速数据；利用月平均风速 wind speed distribution characteristic parameters. For this, it 合成风速数据的方法，能够合成具有一定可参考性的、适用 was summarized that important wind resource parameters, 于区域风能规划的风速数据。 which describe wind speed distribution and wind resource 关键词：风能规划；多维自回归模型；可再生电力混合优化 situation, in commonly used wind energy planning models. 模型；区域等效风速；合成风速 Then, the impact of these parameters on energy planning was analyzed. Solution approaches for these parameters were 0 引言 proposed based on multidimensional regression model. 目前，常用的混合能源规划模型有能源-经济- Besides, an approach synthesizing wind spee