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《On the Job training Estimaing Returns Using Firm Level Data》.pdf
On-the-Job Training: Estimating Returns Using Firm
Level Data∗
Rita Almeida
The World Bank
Pedro Carneiro
University College London and Institute for Fiscal Studies
January 2005
Preliminary and Incomplete
Abstract
This paper fills in a major gap in the empirical literature on training by estimating
the private return to training using firm level data. The literature has neglected the
cost side of this investment and focused solely on quantifying the benefits of training.
The coverage and quality of our data allows us to improve the existing literature in
several dimensions. We find that, unlike schooling, the foregone output cost of training
accounts for 75% to 90% of the total cost. This is not surprising given that in our sample
firms train less than 1% of hours worked. Moreover, we estimate that more than 50%
of the training takes place outside the working hours and is not associated with lower
output. We also quantify the effect of training on current and future output. Even
tough disentangling correlation and causality bears difficulties, we use the Blundell
and Bond (1998) estimator to address this issue. We find that increasing training per
employee in 10 hours (approx. 0.5% of total hours worked/year), leads to an increase
in current output of 1.5-4%. Changes in future output are smaller since knowledge
depreciates over time due to worker turnover. These estimates imply that the median
private return to training is higher than 200%. This number is high but it is
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